Hi masters of EViews and Statistics and Econometrics,
I am replicating some forecasting models. The one i am dealing with now is: Y=17139*x^-1.093
How can i estimate the same equation on Eviews. As it is a power function, apart from y and x variables to upload on eviews, how can i make sure that i define the constant=17139 and the exponent -1,093, so that the estimation recognizes my formula then?
Thanks a lot!
p.s. with regression analysis on excel, i found out that the residuals are not randomly distributed, i.e. strong autocorrelation, which might indicated that the model is not an appropriate one. In order to run more analysis, i would like to do all this with eviews, so that i can get more feedback and much quickly.
I would appreciate any suggestions on validating, evaluating existing forecasting models (linear, non-linear, etc.). This could be a great topic for me to read through!
Power function estimation in Eviews
Moderators: EViews Gareth, EViews Moderator
-
EViews Gareth
- Fe ddaethom, fe welon, fe amcangyfrifon
- Posts: 13585
- Joined: Tue Sep 16, 2008 5:38 pm
Re: Power function estimation in Eviews
What are you estimating? There are no unknown coefficients in that expression.
Re: Power function estimation in Eviews
You're right!
What i mean, is how can i reproduce the same equation with Eviews? I want to estimate Y with the explanatory variable X, with the condition that i get the same coefficient and exponent, as in the original model.
I am trying to reproduce on Eviews the power function (as given above) that the authors have estimated in 2003. Like this i can run more analysis on this model an try to find any incovenience or misspecification.
I hope this makes more sense now.
What i mean, is how can i reproduce the same equation with Eviews? I want to estimate Y with the explanatory variable X, with the condition that i get the same coefficient and exponent, as in the original model.
I am trying to reproduce on Eviews the power function (as given above) that the authors have estimated in 2003. Like this i can run more analysis on this model an try to find any incovenience or misspecification.
I hope this makes more sense now.
-
EViews Gareth
- Fe ddaethom, fe welon, fe amcangyfrifon
- Posts: 13585
- Joined: Tue Sep 16, 2008 5:38 pm
Re: Power function estimation in Eviews
You can only replicate it if you have exactly the same data. Assuming you do, then create a new equation and enter the specification as:
Code: Select all
Y=c(1)*X^c(2)
Re: Power function estimation in Eviews
Thank you so much. I have almost the exact function, so i will consider this as ok.
Dependent Variable: IU_AT
Method: Least Squares
Date: 05/07/14 Time: 00:58
Sample: 1977 2000
Included observations: 24
Convergence achieved after 33 iterations
IU_AT=C(1)*GDP_CAP_AT^C(2)
Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C(1) 17124.90 3611.923 4.741213 0.0001
C(2) -1.092480 0.072092 -15.15406 0.0000
R-squared 0.914266 Mean dependent var 682.9475
Adjusted R-squared 0.910369 S.D. dependent var 101.3751
S.E. of regression 30.35009 Akaike info criterion 9.743132
Sum squared resid 20264.82 Schwarz criterion 9.841303
Log likelihood -114.9176 Hannan-Quinn criter. 9.769176
Durbin-Watson stat 0.821953
And this is how the residuals look like in Excel, and Eviews. Do you see the difference and what i meant? Where am i going wrong? How could i verify that this model is a good one or has misspecifications?
Dependent Variable: IU_AT
Method: Least Squares
Date: 05/07/14 Time: 00:58
Sample: 1977 2000
Included observations: 24
Convergence achieved after 33 iterations
IU_AT=C(1)*GDP_CAP_AT^C(2)
Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C(1) 17124.90 3611.923 4.741213 0.0001
C(2) -1.092480 0.072092 -15.15406 0.0000
R-squared 0.914266 Mean dependent var 682.9475
Adjusted R-squared 0.910369 S.D. dependent var 101.3751
S.E. of regression 30.35009 Akaike info criterion 9.743132
Sum squared resid 20264.82 Schwarz criterion 9.841303
Log likelihood -114.9176 Hannan-Quinn criter. 9.769176
Durbin-Watson stat 0.821953
And this is how the residuals look like in Excel, and Eviews. Do you see the difference and what i meant? Where am i going wrong? How could i verify that this model is a good one or has misspecifications?
- Attachments
-
- Screenshot 2014-05-07 01.21.26.png (17.33 KiB) Viewed 9503 times
-
- Screenshot 2014-05-07 01.09.31.png (24.48 KiB) Viewed 9503 times
Re: Power function estimation in Eviews
on excel:
- no randomness of residuals
- durbin-watson = 0,19
hence, i was thinking that there was a misleading model.
Did Eviews, maybe adjust something automatically from this model? Or do you still see any inconvenience in the residuals graph? Histogram attached.
- no randomness of residuals
- durbin-watson = 0,19
hence, i was thinking that there was a misleading model.
Did Eviews, maybe adjust something automatically from this model? Or do you still see any inconvenience in the residuals graph? Histogram attached.
- Attachments
-
- Screenshot 2014-05-07 01.29.47.png (35.77 KiB) Viewed 9499 times
Re: Power function estimation in Eviews
First of all, the two results are not "close". Nonlinear models are sensitive to initial conditions as well as to the changes in parameter values. And they are also susceptible to local optima. In this case, however, you can linearize the model by applying logarithmic transformation to the variables. You can then run a simple OLS and this should yield the same output for EViews and Excel.
Code: Select all
log(iu_at) = c(1) + c(2)*gdp_cap_atWho is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests
