VECM lag length after VAR/ADF testing

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hlearner
Posts: 4
Joined: Tue Feb 26, 2013 11:17 am

VECM lag length after VAR/ADF testing

Postby hlearner » Mon Nov 25, 2013 3:45 pm

1) I have three I(1) variables--I tested and found that they were individually I(1) via ADFs on each series.
2) When I run a VAR on LEVELS, I find that the optimal lag length is lag = X.
2a) When I run a VAR on FIRST DIFFERENCES, I find that the optimal lag length is lag = Y.
Should I be running my VAR on levels or first differences knowing that the series are I(1)?
3) I want to determine how many cointegrating relationships I may have (0, 1, or 2) via the Johansen Integration Test.
4) I know I need to input the number of lag lengths of the DIFFERENCED endogenous variables.
Does this correspond to Y, i.e., the number of lag based on a VAR run on first differences?
5) More generally, is it correct to determine the number of cointegrating equations based on the optimal lag length from a VAR run on LEVELS or DIFFERENCES?

Thanks.
PS I'm using Eviews 7 and I've read Book II, Chapter 32 (VAR and ECM)

BobJ
Posts: 14
Joined: Wed Nov 19, 2008 11:36 pm

Re: VECM lag length after VAR/ADF testing

Postby BobJ » Mon Apr 14, 2014 5:38 am

The lag length of the VAR/VECM has nothing to do with the number of cointegrating relationships. If think you're confusing optimal lag length with the number of cointegrating relationships. Variables can't be differenced and have a cointegrating relatiohsip. You would wipe out the cointegrating relation by first differencing the data.


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