I'm running the Johansen cointegration test. I have the following questions:
Can I run the test on lets say 4 variables if one of them is stationary i.e one of them does'nt have a unit root?
What if the result shows None* to be significant? what does None* means ??
thank you
Question regarding Johansen, please advise
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Re: Question regarding Johansen, please advise
No. Series can't be cointegrated without being integrated.
Re: Question regarding Johansen, please advise
a) As long as the number of integrated variables is more than 1 then it is possible that they are co-integrated. Since you have three then it is OK to check co-integration with them only (the stationary variable can be included as an exogenous variable, but that jumps to a different topic).
b) If "none" is the result of the co-integration test (be careful, it has nothing to do with significance, it is not a t-est or an F-test), that means that none co-integrating vectors have been found. In other words, you have NO co-integration. Your VAR model is not stationary, thus your estimation results would be spurious, unreliable for any kind of conclusions.
What you should do? Use all 3 integrated variables in first differences instead of levels. In that manner your VAR model will be stationary and you will have statistically meaningful results.
b) If "none" is the result of the co-integration test (be careful, it has nothing to do with significance, it is not a t-est or an F-test), that means that none co-integrating vectors have been found. In other words, you have NO co-integration. Your VAR model is not stationary, thus your estimation results would be spurious, unreliable for any kind of conclusions.
What you should do? Use all 3 integrated variables in first differences instead of levels. In that manner your VAR model will be stationary and you will have statistically meaningful results.
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