I have performed a 2-step Engle Granger test for cointegration on my 2 variables y on x, both variables are I(1). and i have come out with a long run equation that seems reasonable when described economically.
However i am trying to do an error correction model for the variables in order to come out with the short run equation, but i am constantly being confused by different texts i am reading as to how i should go about performing this.
I first performed this ecm equation: dy dx dy(-1) ecm
where dy - y differenced, dx - x differenced, ecm - residuals of long run lagged by one.
i get an R^2 of 0.13 and Durbin Watson of 2.11
However i read somewhere that to find out number of lags i need to perform an Estimate VAR equation, then look at the Lag Length Criteria, and look at the SC: Schwarz information criterion column, which shows that 2 lags are significant.
Does this mean that my ecm is incorrect and it must be of the form dy dx(0 to -2) dy(-1 to -3) ecm?
i am very confused by this and how do i actually know if the ecm i have is significant or not?
Calculating Lags for ECM, HELP please
Moderators: EViews Gareth, EViews Moderator
Re: Calculating Lags for ECM, HELP please
urgent help needed on this please. i really don't know how to set out my short run equation using the ecm in the equation editor.
or how to calculate what lags each variable should have.
or how to calculate what lags each variable should have.
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