A problem when making a forecast
Posted: Fri Apr 15, 2011 1:18 pm
Hi
I have a problem when I try to make an ex-ante forecast.
I`m using the following model
ls log(exports) c logweightedex(-2) logppi(-1) moutputchange(-1) ar(1) ma(1)
The sample is from 2000q1 to 2010q4. I want to make a forecast for 2011. I have expanded the sample range until 2011q4. However, when I make the forecast I only get an estimated value for 2011q1. I have been using the program throughout the semester and that's the first time I get that problem. Does anyone know what is the problem?
I have a problem when I try to make an ex-ante forecast.
I`m using the following model
ls log(exports) c logweightedex(-2) logppi(-1) moutputchange(-1) ar(1) ma(1)
The sample is from 2000q1 to 2010q4. I want to make a forecast for 2011. I have expanded the sample range until 2011q4. However, when I make the forecast I only get an estimated value for 2011q1. I have been using the program throughout the semester and that's the first time I get that problem. Does anyone know what is the problem?