A problem when making a forecast

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secondwind
Posts: 1
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 1:07 pm

A problem when making a forecast

Postby secondwind » Fri Apr 15, 2011 1:18 pm

Hi

I have a problem when I try to make an ex-ante forecast.

I`m using the following model
ls log(exports) c logweightedex(-2) logppi(-1) moutputchange(-1) ar(1) ma(1)
The sample is from 2000q1 to 2010q4. I want to make a forecast for 2011. I have expanded the sample range until 2011q4. However, when I make the forecast I only get an estimated value for 2011q1. I have been using the program throughout the semester and that's the first time I get that problem. Does anyone know what is the problem?

EViews Gareth
Fe ddaethom, fe welon, fe amcangyfrifon
Posts: 13604
Joined: Tue Sep 16, 2008 5:38 pm

Re: A problem when making a forecast

Postby EViews Gareth » Fri Apr 15, 2011 1:24 pm

Do you have values for the exogenous (independent) variables for 2011?


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