Residuals and ARIMA

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kristj20
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Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2010 5:10 am

Residuals and ARIMA

Postby kristj20 » Wed Sep 01, 2010 1:07 am

In what cases, if there is any, would one include a 'resid' variable as an explanatory variable in an ARIMA specification? I have an ARIMA (12,1,12), and if I include resid01 in the estimation, it fixes up a lot of things. Does this make sense, theoretically and practically?

Also, when conducting the Ramsey RESET with the resid01, the test looks fine. When I remove resid01 and conduct RESET again, p-values drop below .05. What is this showing me, that I have ommited significant variables?

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