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negative coefficient for alpha+beta in CGARCH

Posted: Sat Jul 25, 2009 4:55 am
by tpr3396
Hello guys,
Can someone please help me with the following question?
When I estimate CGARCH model in five exchange returns, for three of series, I got negative coefficient on either alpha or beta, so alpha+beta<1. and both of them are insignificant as well. I tried both student-t and normal distribution, but the problem still there. How can I fix this? Thanks a lot

Re: negative coefficient for alpha+beta in CGARCH

Posted: Sun Jul 26, 2009 5:03 pm
by tpr3396
If I change the sample size, and make it longer, the alpha and beta will be positive and significant. Can anyone explain this? Thanks

Re: negative coefficient for alpha+beta in CGARCH

Posted: Sun Jul 26, 2009 10:56 pm
by trubador
Since this issue is related to techincal details of optimization, the explanation you seek is not specific to EViews. Please do not forget that ARCH models are conditional estimations of volatility and therefore depend on the data (along with other empirical issues) at hand. You should study ARCH models in more detail, before carrying out such estimations in any software.