negative coefficient for alpha+beta in CGARCH

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tpr3396
Posts: 9
Joined: Sat Jul 11, 2009 4:19 am

negative coefficient for alpha+beta in CGARCH

Postby tpr3396 » Sat Jul 25, 2009 4:55 am

Hello guys,
Can someone please help me with the following question?
When I estimate CGARCH model in five exchange returns, for three of series, I got negative coefficient on either alpha or beta, so alpha+beta<1. and both of them are insignificant as well. I tried both student-t and normal distribution, but the problem still there. How can I fix this? Thanks a lot

tpr3396
Posts: 9
Joined: Sat Jul 11, 2009 4:19 am

Re: negative coefficient for alpha+beta in CGARCH

Postby tpr3396 » Sun Jul 26, 2009 5:03 pm

If I change the sample size, and make it longer, the alpha and beta will be positive and significant. Can anyone explain this? Thanks

trubador
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Posts: 1520
Joined: Thu Nov 20, 2008 12:04 pm

Re: negative coefficient for alpha+beta in CGARCH

Postby trubador » Sun Jul 26, 2009 10:56 pm

Since this issue is related to techincal details of optimization, the explanation you seek is not specific to EViews. Please do not forget that ARCH models are conditional estimations of volatility and therefore depend on the data (along with other empirical issues) at hand. You should study ARCH models in more detail, before carrying out such estimations in any software.


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