Up-market dowm-market estimation

For technical questions regarding estimation of single equations, systems, VARs, Factor analysis and State Space Models in EViews. General econometric questions and advice should go in the Econometric Discussions forum.

Moderators: EViews Gareth, EViews Moderator

Bottom
Posts: 1
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2014 3:15 am

Up-market dowm-market estimation

Postby Bottom » Tue Sep 02, 2014 3:40 am

Hi,

I am trying to analyse 100 funds' excess returns with classical factors by using the SUR model as a system which was relatively easy, except quite limited outputs for Wald's restriction tests where I set either alphas or betas as zeros.

Now, I would like to estimate how up-market and down-market or alternatively Recession dummy (1) and expansion dummy(0) as a refrence group have effects to the excess return. ( I have already created one-to-zero dummies (US recession add-in)

Could you provide advise how to write the following equation in a SUR system equation for 100 funds:

(Rit-Rft) = αi + βi (Rmt-Rft) - ciD(Rmt-Rft) + eit

where D = 0 if Rmt-Rft > or = an up market
=1 if Rmt-Rft < = Down market

βi is the up-market beta and (βi - ci) is the down-market beta and ci is the difference between the up-market beta and down-market beta.

+ would be Rit-Rft = αi + βi (Rmt-Rft) + eit
0 would be Rit-Rft = αi
- would be Rit-Rft = αi + (βi - ci) (Rmt-Rft) + eit

Hence, succesfull timing world have a positive ci, and if its statistically significat, it reflects manager talent.

I am thankfull to any advice, since I am new to this. :D

Return to “Estimation”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests