Comparing 12-step ahead models

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Funnell
Posts: 1
Joined: Tue Jan 03, 2017 12:02 pm

Comparing 12-step ahead models

Postby Funnell » Wed Jan 04, 2017 6:55 am

Hello,
I'm new to eviews and Econometrics so i apologise if my questions is simple, or not clear. I have estimated an AR(1) and AR(2) model, and used this to forecast a 12 step ahead model. Both as you might expect give out fairly similar results, is there a statistical method i would use to compare the fit of the forecast and decide which model is best? or would i just choose the AR(1) because of parsimony?

Any help would be greatly appreciated

Thanks

Alex

dakila
Posts: 489
Joined: Tue Nov 24, 2015 4:57 pm

Re: Comparing 12-step ahead models

Postby dakila » Thu Jan 05, 2017 12:03 am



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