Automatic ARIMA Forecasting

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saulstice
Posts: 3
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2016 8:59 am

Automatic ARIMA Forecasting

Postby saulstice » Tue Aug 02, 2016 9:05 am

Dear Eviews users,

I am trying to construct a model to predict gdp. As part of this process I want to do an ARIMA model and have thus been drawn to the automatic tool provided by eviews. However, it seems that it only finds the best AR(X) and MA(X) and not the optimal lags for each regressors.

Is there any way to use this automatic tool to find the optimal lags of the regressors or do I have to do this job manually?

Thanks in advance!

Saul Stice

EViews Gareth
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Posts: 13603
Joined: Tue Sep 16, 2008 5:38 pm

Re: Automatic ARIMA Forecasting

Postby EViews Gareth » Tue Aug 02, 2016 9:24 am

You might want to look at ARDL instead.

saulstice
Posts: 3
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2016 8:59 am

Re: Automatic ARIMA Forecasting

Postby saulstice » Thu Aug 04, 2016 5:24 am

Thanks a lot Gareth!

Is there any way to include MA(X) terms in the ADRL procedure?

Before that, I was using a stepwise regression process to select my variables, but I would prefer to use something more robust.

EViews Gareth
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Posts: 13603
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Re: Automatic ARIMA Forecasting

Postby EViews Gareth » Thu Aug 04, 2016 5:29 am

No.


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