Modelling with Et[Y(t+1)]

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diogoretti
Posts: 5
Joined: Tue Nov 10, 2015 5:28 pm

Modelling with Et[Y(t+1)]

Postby diogoretti » Tue Nov 17, 2015 10:58 am

I need to estimate the following equation, to estimate ρ:

Yt = ρY(t-1)+(1-ρ)Et[Y(t+1)] + εt

Can someone help me with the code?

Tks!

startz
Non-normality and collinearity are NOT problems!
Posts: 3797
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2008 2:25 pm

Re: Modelling with Et[Y(t+1)]

Postby startz » Tue Nov 17, 2015 12:17 pm

Use Y_(t+1) on the right and instrument for it.

diogoretti
Posts: 5
Joined: Tue Nov 10, 2015 5:28 pm

Re: Modelling with Et[Y(t+1)]

Postby diogoretti » Tue Nov 17, 2015 1:16 pm

startz,

Thank you, but can you be more specific? I'm a newbie.

startz
Non-normality and collinearity are NOT problems!
Posts: 3797
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2008 2:25 pm

Re: Modelling with Et[Y(t+1)]

Postby startz » Tue Nov 17, 2015 1:57 pm

Code: Select all

tsls y c y(-1) y(1) @ c y(-1) x
where x is a variable correlated with y_(t+1) but not with the error in the equation nor the forecast error in y_(t+1).


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