EGARCH - Exchange Rates

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Zubin
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Joined: Fri Apr 10, 2015 5:47 am

EGARCH - Exchange Rates

Postby Zubin » Fri Apr 10, 2015 6:02 am

Hi, I am currently studying econometrics and wanted some clarification and confirmation I am on the right lines.

I wanted to initially see the impact on exchange rate movements on the stock market, so from reading I realised that I needed to use the egarch method but I am not entirely sure if I am on the right lines. I have estimated the following output Ibovespa Index ( daily % change in returns) c and Brl per USD (daily % Change in exchange rate), where by I added BRL per USD in the variance equation, but I am not sure on how to interpret the output attached called Egarch 1.

Also the second attachment (egarch 2), I have just estimated brl per usd c, am I right to assume that C(4) which is the leverage effect information, implies that an increase in brl per usd (depreciation of Brazilian real) has a higher implied volatility on future exchange rates then the opposite.

I appreciate the clarification
Attachments
egarch 2.jpg
egarch 2.jpg (99.81 KiB) Viewed 1905 times
Egarch 1.jpg
Egarch 1.jpg (103.16 KiB) Viewed 1905 times

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