GARCH-M with additional variables

For technical questions regarding estimation of single equations, systems, VARs, Factor analysis and State Space Models in EViews. General econometric questions and advice should go in the Econometric Discussions forum.

Moderators: EViews Gareth, EViews Moderator

Nicole
Posts: 22
Joined: Thu Jul 17, 2014 12:34 pm

GARCH-M with additional variables

Postby Nicole » Tue Jul 22, 2014 2:56 am

Hi,

I am trying to forecast volatility by using different models and then comparing the accuracy of the models.
I have however run into some problems with my estimations in Eviews and I am wondering if someone knows how I should proceed.

I am trying determine if the markets implied volatility has incremental information and if GARCH/EGARCH has information built in that is not given by the implied volatility.
Following the procedure of a research paper (where the authors also used Eviews) I am trying to estimate the following models.

GARCH(1.1)-M: ht^2=α0+αi ut^2+βht^2+δσt-i^2
and
EGARCH-AR(1):ln⁡(ht^2 )= α0+β ln⁡(ht^2 )+γ ut/√ht^2 +αi [|ut|/√ht^2 -√(2/π)]+δln⁡(σt1^2)

where the last term in both equations is the implied volatility

In order to check whether the GARCH(1.1)-M and EGARCH-AR(1) specifications for volatility contain information that is not impounded in implied volatilities I need to constrain the time series parameters ( β = γ = αi = 0) so that I end up with the following models:

GARCH(1.1)-M: ht^2=α0+δσt-i^2
and
EGARCH-AR(1):ln⁡(ht^2 )= α0+δln⁡(σt1^2)

How can I proceed to do this in Eviews? I have tried reading the manual and browsed the forum for days, but I cant seem to find the answer anywhere.

Appreciate all the help I can get! :)

Return to “Estimation”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests