Interpretation of the coefficients

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NurfatimaD
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Joined: Wed May 23, 2012 10:04 pm
Location: Almaty, Kazakhstan

Interpretation of the coefficients

Postby NurfatimaD » Wed Apr 03, 2013 5:36 am

Good evening!

I have a question regarding the interpretation of the coefficient.
I have run a regression that has to explain monthly changes in food price index given information on oil and wheat prices. I tried to play with the regressors and at some moment have added both an AR(1) term and a dependent variable with one month lag to the right side of the equation, and they both proved to be statistically significant and improved the model (based on AIC). However, I am stuck with interpreting the coefficient of a dependent variable with one month lag. What could it mean economically?

Thanks!

P.S. I attach the workfile to this message if it helps.
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