Cointegration

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alex9
Posts: 4
Joined: Tue Sep 11, 2012 2:38 am

Cointegration

Postby alex9 » Mon Oct 08, 2012 4:12 am

Here is the problem
I have to test for cointegration between a variable Y and another one X. Y has a deterministic trend while X is a I(1). (I used the ADF test). I know that if you want to test for cointegartion between two I(1) variables you should run a model with them and test if the residuals have a unit root. So I'm wondering wheter the procedure is the same for a variable with a deterministic trend. Should I compute something like
y c @trend x
and then create a residual series and use ADF test?
Thanks in advance

EViews Glenn
EViews Developer
Posts: 2682
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 9:17 am

Re: Cointegration

Postby EViews Glenn » Mon Oct 08, 2012 12:53 pm

Yes, you can do that, but the inference on the unit root test won't be correct since the critical values differ. The test generally goes under the name Engle-Granger or Phillips-Ouliaris depending on whether you do an ADF or PP unit root test. EViews 7 computes this kind of single equation cointegration test for you.

alex9
Posts: 4
Joined: Tue Sep 11, 2012 2:38 am

Re: Cointegration

Postby alex9 » Wed Oct 10, 2012 3:58 am

thanks for your answer.
Yes, I have eviews 7 and I used eviews to test cointegration.. I mean Estimate equation> Method: Cointegrating regressor. How should I interpret the results? I imagine I should look at p-value but I'm not completely sure

EViews Glenn
EViews Developer
Posts: 2682
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 9:17 am

Re: Cointegration

Postby EViews Glenn » Wed Oct 10, 2012 10:13 am

You should look at the manual. I think the index has an entry for Engle-Granger cointegration test. It'll describe how to perform the test from a group of series, or from an estimated cointegrating regression equation.

startz
Non-normality and collinearity are NOT problems!
Posts: 3798
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2008 2:25 pm

Re: Cointegration

Postby startz » Wed Oct 10, 2012 11:02 am

If you meant in your original post that Y is I(0) with a trend (I wasn't sure if that's what you were saying), then the whole deal is off. An I(0) and I(1) variable can't be cointegrated.


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