ARMA exact ML

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hxh
Posts: 13
Joined: Fri Jun 17, 2011 12:02 am

ARMA exact ML

Postby hxh » Thu Jun 30, 2011 6:34 am

Hi all,

I have a question how can I estimate an ARMA(2,1) model in Eviews ?

Further I have calculated the asymptotic distribution of the estimators. How can I estimate the Covariance Matrix when I have the theoretical one ? Can i just plug in the estimators of my coeficients ?

startz
Non-normality and collinearity are NOT problems!
Posts: 3798
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2008 2:25 pm

Re: ARMA exact ML

Postby startz » Thu Jun 30, 2011 6:45 am

Hi all,

I have a question how can I estimate an ARMA(2,1) model in Eviews ?

Further I have calculated the asymptotic distribution of the estimators. How can I estimate the Covariance Matrix when I have the theoretical one ? Can i just plug in the estimators of my coeficients ?

Code: Select all

ls y ar(1) ar(2) ma(1)
Gives a quasi-maximum likelihood estimate and also gives the estimated covariance matrix.

hxh
Posts: 13
Joined: Fri Jun 17, 2011 12:02 am

Re: ARMA exact ML

Postby hxh » Thu Jun 30, 2011 7:41 am

but actually i want to have the maximum liklehood estimators and their standards errors, this is Least sqaures

startz
Non-normality and collinearity are NOT problems!
Posts: 3798
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2008 2:25 pm

Re: ARMA exact ML

Postby startz » Thu Jun 30, 2011 7:45 am

With the exception of treatment of the first two observations, least squares is MLE.

hxh
Posts: 13
Joined: Fri Jun 17, 2011 12:02 am

Re: ARMA exact ML

Postby hxh » Thu Jun 30, 2011 8:13 am

Thats what I should answer

A researcher fits an ARMA(2,1) model for the mean adjusted growth rate yt = yt-\bar y
(without deterministic terms). Use the result on the asymptotic distribution of ML
estimators in stationary ARMA models and derive an expression for the asymptotic
covariance matrix SIGMA/T of the estimated parameter vector beta . It is
sufficient to give the result in form of the matrix S such that SIGMA=S^-1.
Estimate the covariance accordingly and compare the implied asymptotic standard errors with those
reported by EViews.


I dont really understand what I have to do, because for sure I can get this Covariance MAtrix by using OLS, but how can I compare this to my theoretical result?

startz
Non-normality and collinearity are NOT problems!
Posts: 3798
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2008 2:25 pm

Re: ARMA exact ML

Postby startz » Thu Jun 30, 2011 10:41 am

Thats what I should answer

A researcher fits an ARMA(2,1) model for the mean adjusted growth rate yt = yt-\bar y
(without deterministic terms). Use the result on the asymptotic distribution of ML
estimators in stationary ARMA models and derive an expression for the asymptotic
covariance matrix SIGMA/T of the estimated parameter vector beta . It is
sufficient to give the result in form of the matrix S such that SIGMA=S^-1.
Estimate the covariance accordingly and compare the implied asymptotic standard errors with those
reported by EViews.


I dont really understand what I have to do, because for sure I can get this Covariance MAtrix by using OLS, but how can I compare this to my theoretical result?
I imagine that you're being asked to plug the estimated parameters into the expression for the asymptotic covariance matrix and compare the diagonal elements to the standard errors reported by EViews. But you might do better by asking for clarification from whoever assigned the homework.

hxh
Posts: 13
Joined: Fri Jun 17, 2011 12:02 am

Re: ARMA exact ML

Postby hxh » Thu Jun 30, 2011 11:11 am

yeah i also think i should do that


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