Ordered forecast, latent variable or probability

[maxchen]

Hi

In ordered model, when forecasting using models obj, there also find some inconsistent forecast, the fitted probability indicates category 2 (max prob), however the latent variable forecast to be lied in category 3.

which one is to be chosen? latent variable or probability?

[EViews Glenn]

Probability. The fitted indices only have meaning when run through the CDF.