Search found 8 matches

by engur
Mon Apr 13, 2015 5:05 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: trend stationarity
Replies: 6
Views: 8245

Re: trend stationarity

Sorry to post here again.. I am really short of time and could not find an answer to my question throughout the forum because it is a really basic one. I want to put dummy variable in a VAR model and I have to check the significance of this dummy variable for each of the variables in VAR model. Is i...
by engur
Tue Mar 31, 2015 11:09 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: LM serial correlation test for VAR model
Replies: 0
Views: 2589

LM serial correlation test for VAR model

I am trying to find out if there is a serial correlation in my VAR model's residuals and got a bit confused. Lets suppose we are doing a LM test for VAR(4), and choosing 12 lags for LM test. Does every p value for every lag have to be larger than 0.05? or are we just looking for 4th lag as our VAR m...
by engur
Tue Mar 31, 2015 11:03 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Confused About Simple VAR LM Test
Replies: 5
Views: 14127

Re: Confused About Simple VAR LM Test

I am wondering the same thing!!! can any expert send a reply please ?
by engur
Wed Mar 25, 2015 10:35 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: trend stationarity
Replies: 6
Views: 8245

Re: trend stationarity

Thanks for the advice as I managed to find answers to some of my questions in the forum. However, I would be very grateful if you could help me one more time. I am looking for effects of oil prices on some macroeconomic variables such as industrial production index and inflation. I take the variable...
by engur
Sun Mar 22, 2015 8:07 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: trend stationarity
Replies: 6
Views: 8245

Re: trend stationarity

Thanks a lot for your reply.. can I conclude that if a data is difference-stationary, I can start modelling ? Also because it is hard to get an answer in this forum, I want to ask a irrelevant question: I am trying to run a VECM model. Should I put the variables in levels or first-difference would b...
by engur
Fri Mar 20, 2015 11:25 am
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: trend stationarity
Replies: 6
Views: 8245

trend stationarity

I am pretty sure that my data has trend. However after detrending, it is still non-stationary. Also, when I take the first difference of my original data(not detrended), it becomes stationary. So should I do both or is my data difference(first degree) stationary ? thanks a lot for replies in advance...
by engur
Tue Mar 10, 2015 7:01 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Augmented Dickey Fuller Test
Replies: 0
Views: 2277

Augmented Dickey Fuller Test

I am a bit confused about ADF test. Do we need to check for serial correlation before implementing the ADF test. And secondly, when I do the ADF test, the durbin-watson stat is approximately 1.86. Is this too low and if it is too low, does this make the adf test unreliable ? Thanks for replies in ad...
by engur
Tue Mar 10, 2015 5:40 pm
Forum: Econometric Discussions
Topic: Lag length
Replies: 0
Views: 2221

Lag length

I am new to econometrics and I really could not understand why we choose the lag length ? When I change the number of lags before any estimation, the number of observation decrease, why is that ? I didn't get what lag length means.. I have a data with 105 observations and I thought number of lags sh...

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