How much of time series data use to model/forecast
Posted: Wed Feb 05, 2014 3:30 pm
Greeting to you all
I was wondering the following: I want to fit a VAR model to two time series.
I would like to base the model on part of the data and subsequently use the model to make a forecast of the last few months of my data.
Now I'm wondering if there is some kind of rule of thumb of how much data to leave out. In this case I'm using monthly data over a time span of 18 years.
Thank you!
I was wondering the following: I want to fit a VAR model to two time series.
I would like to base the model on part of the data and subsequently use the model to make a forecast of the last few months of my data.
Now I'm wondering if there is some kind of rule of thumb of how much data to leave out. In this case I'm using monthly data over a time span of 18 years.
Thank you!