Forecasts as differenced data vs actual data
Posted: Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:34 pm
I created a model in second differences. My equation is d(y,2) = c + mx + AR(1).
If I am working in static space, under "forecast equation," I am given the option to forecast d(y,2) OR y.
How is it that when I forecast "y", the second differences of this forecast do NOT equal the forecast values of d(y,2)?
More importantly, given a forecast of d(y,2) how do I convert this to equal the forecast eviews is giving me for y?
Thank you.
If I am working in static space, under "forecast equation," I am given the option to forecast d(y,2) OR y.
How is it that when I forecast "y", the second differences of this forecast do NOT equal the forecast values of d(y,2)?
More importantly, given a forecast of d(y,2) how do I convert this to equal the forecast eviews is giving me for y?
Thank you.