NSM error and chrashing
Posted: Thu Jan 16, 2014 1:47 pm
Hi all,
I am trying to estimate a structural VAR for the 50 states using this specification (SUR and about 3600 data points over 35 years):
xak-wsak(-1)=c(1)*(xak(-1)-c(6)-c(2)*yak(-1))
yak-yak(-1)=c(11)*(xak(-1)-c(6)-c(12)*yak(-1))
xal-wsal(-1)=c(1)*(xal(-1)-c(6)-c(2)*yal(-1))
yal-yal(-1)=c(11)*(xal(-1)-c(6)-c(12)*yal(-1))
xar-xar(-1)=c(1)*(xar(-1)-c(6)-c(2)*yar(-1))
yar-yar(-1)=c(11)*(xsar(-1)-c(6)-c(12)*yar(-1))
.
.
.
When I include all states Eviews crashes. If I run the system with only 48 states I get Near Singular Matrix error but Eviews does not crash. If I take 20 states out Eviews completes the estimations and provides estimates with impressive significance but the signs points out to potential instability. My question is: Do you think the errors/crashes are related to a potential instability issue or are these two separate issues I have to address. Any help would be much appreciated. thanks.
I am trying to estimate a structural VAR for the 50 states using this specification (SUR and about 3600 data points over 35 years):
xak-wsak(-1)=c(1)*(xak(-1)-c(6)-c(2)*yak(-1))
yak-yak(-1)=c(11)*(xak(-1)-c(6)-c(12)*yak(-1))
xal-wsal(-1)=c(1)*(xal(-1)-c(6)-c(2)*yal(-1))
yal-yal(-1)=c(11)*(xal(-1)-c(6)-c(12)*yal(-1))
xar-xar(-1)=c(1)*(xar(-1)-c(6)-c(2)*yar(-1))
yar-yar(-1)=c(11)*(xsar(-1)-c(6)-c(12)*yar(-1))
.
.
.
When I include all states Eviews crashes. If I run the system with only 48 states I get Near Singular Matrix error but Eviews does not crash. If I take 20 states out Eviews completes the estimations and provides estimates with impressive significance but the signs points out to potential instability. My question is: Do you think the errors/crashes are related to a potential instability issue or are these two separate issues I have to address. Any help would be much appreciated. thanks.