Cross-correlation
Posted: Thu Jul 25, 2013 3:36 am
I am running two different variables in EViews using the Cross-Correlogram function.I want to know how this function can tell whether the first variable is a leading indicator of the second variable. Could any one explain the following result? Really appreciate the help!
Date: 07/25/13 Time: 11:18
Sample: 1990M01 2007M12
Included observations: 215
Correlations are asymptotically consistent approximations
X,Y(-i) X,Y(+i) i lag lead
.|. | .|. | 0 -0.0042 -0.0042
.|* | .|* | 1 0.1246 0.1244
.|. | **|. | 2 0.0423 -0.1493
*|. | .|* | 3 -0.0542 0.1253
*|. | .|. | 4 -0.0423 0.0185
.|* | .|. | 5 0.0936 -0.0157
*|. | .|* | 6 -0.0953 0.0823
I don't understand why the longest lag occur at i=2 is negative..what does it mean?
Date: 07/25/13 Time: 11:18
Sample: 1990M01 2007M12
Included observations: 215
Correlations are asymptotically consistent approximations
X,Y(-i) X,Y(+i) i lag lead
.|. | .|. | 0 -0.0042 -0.0042
.|* | .|* | 1 0.1246 0.1244
.|. | **|. | 2 0.0423 -0.1493
*|. | .|* | 3 -0.0542 0.1253
*|. | .|. | 4 -0.0423 0.0185
.|* | .|. | 5 0.0936 -0.0157
*|. | .|* | 6 -0.0953 0.0823
I don't understand why the longest lag occur at i=2 is negative..what does it mean?