Stock Market Predictability
Posted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 6:58 am
Hi there,
I currently have 575 monthly observations of the FTSE All Share Price dating back to 1965, along with corresponding dividend yeilds and dividend index.
I wish to use long horizon regression analysis to test the predictability of the stock market.
I would like to regress real returns on lagged returns but I'm not sure how to go about this.
Any advice whatsoever would be greatly appreciated as I know research using long horizon regression has not been conducted for many years.
Thanks
Tom
I currently have 575 monthly observations of the FTSE All Share Price dating back to 1965, along with corresponding dividend yeilds and dividend index.
I wish to use long horizon regression analysis to test the predictability of the stock market.
I would like to regress real returns on lagged returns but I'm not sure how to go about this.
Any advice whatsoever would be greatly appreciated as I know research using long horizon regression has not been conducted for many years.
Thanks
Tom