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Question
Posted: Thu Apr 16, 2009 8:34 pm
by Bird
Hi all,
In the ARIMA model, is it a must to add the constant (c) in the model?
Thank you for your help!
BTW, could you please share me the tips and materials fo running seasonal Arima model? I know how to run ARIMA model but I am confused whenever it is seasonal.
Re: Question
Posted: Fri Apr 17, 2009 3:42 am
by startz
Hi all,
In the ARIMA model, is it a must to add the constant (c) in the model?
Traditionally, ARMA models assume the data has zero mean. You need to either or subtract off the mean or include C. Most people do the latter.
An ARIMA model is a little different. The mean of the data automatically disappears when you first difference, and the constant estimates the drift rate.
Re: Question
Posted: Sun Apr 19, 2009 11:42 pm
by Bird
Hi all,
In the ARIMA model, is it a must to add the constant (c) in the model?
Traditionally, ARMA models assume the data has zero mean. You need to either or subtract off the mean or include C. Most people do the latter.
An ARIMA model is a little different. The mean of the data automatically disappears when you first difference, and the constant estimates the drift rate.
Thank you for your help. I also read in a material that a model with two order of total differencing normally does not include a constant term. In a model with one order of total differencing, constant should be included if the series has a non-zero average trend.
Re: Question
Posted: Sun Apr 19, 2009 11:51 pm
by Bird
I have to do now with OLS. Could you please help me the steps I have to do for OLS estimate?
I mean, firstly do I need to check the unit root test for each time series of dependent variables and independent variable as well? After that, testing the cointegration?
Thank you so much for your help!