FORECASTING WITH VAR AND VARIABLES IN LOGS
Posted: Wed Jun 27, 2012 11:39 am
Hi. I am trying to forecast some variables (i.e. LRGDP etc.) which are used in logs. So, i run the VAR/VEC and i follow the steps (i.e. proc, make model etc...)
If i run the model from the start with "real" values (such as $) in order for the farecasts to be in $ too, then I obvliously will have biased results...
Although I Know how to apply the forecasting procedure, my problem is that i want the forecasting values to be in USD and not in logs!
Can you please help me how can I generate values in $, in case the employed data which are used to run the VAR are in logs?
Thank you in advance.
If i run the model from the start with "real" values (such as $) in order for the farecasts to be in $ too, then I obvliously will have biased results...
Although I Know how to apply the forecasting procedure, my problem is that i want the forecasting values to be in USD and not in logs!
Can you please help me how can I generate values in $, in case the employed data which are used to run the VAR are in logs?
Thank you in advance.