root mean squared error of var forecast
Posted: Fri Dec 30, 2011 1:15 pm
Hello!
Im a bit stuck reproducing Stock and Watson's paper called "Vector Autoregressions". At a certain point they give the results for the root mean sqaured errors of simulated out-of-sample forecasts for inflation, unemployment and federal funds in 2 quarters, 4 quarters and 8 quarters; comparing VAR, AR and Random Walk.
I have forecast the VAR model, solving the model and obtiaining the _0 values, but do not know how to conitnue further on. Any ideas?
THanks so much!
Im a bit stuck reproducing Stock and Watson's paper called "Vector Autoregressions". At a certain point they give the results for the root mean sqaured errors of simulated out-of-sample forecasts for inflation, unemployment and federal funds in 2 quarters, 4 quarters and 8 quarters; comparing VAR, AR and Random Walk.
I have forecast the VAR model, solving the model and obtiaining the _0 values, but do not know how to conitnue further on. Any ideas?
THanks so much!