Using Quadratic Trend to estimate trend GDP
Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2011 5:07 pm
Hi,
I am using the quadratic trend estimation technique to get trend GDP. My regression equation is:
GDP = β0 + β1Time + β2Time^2
when I run this regression the output from the estimation gives me the coefficient, std error, tstats and prob for each of the regressors.
Since this estimation or output will represent the trend GDP, I will need a time series of this estimation in order to measure the output gap.
Note the output gap is measured as: actual GDP minus trend GDP.
My question is therefore how do I get a time series from the quadratic trend estimation? I need a time series of the trend data which was estimated so I can subtract it from the actual GDP data to get the output gap.
I checked the eviews manual but I did not get a solution so any assistance will be appreciated. Thanks.
I am using the quadratic trend estimation technique to get trend GDP. My regression equation is:
GDP = β0 + β1Time + β2Time^2
when I run this regression the output from the estimation gives me the coefficient, std error, tstats and prob for each of the regressors.
Since this estimation or output will represent the trend GDP, I will need a time series of this estimation in order to measure the output gap.
Note the output gap is measured as: actual GDP minus trend GDP.
My question is therefore how do I get a time series from the quadratic trend estimation? I need a time series of the trend data which was estimated so I can subtract it from the actual GDP data to get the output gap.
I checked the eviews manual but I did not get a solution so any assistance will be appreciated. Thanks.