rolling forecasting
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2011 3:58 am
Hello dear friends,
I wish I can get a response to my query:
I would like to estimate a VAR model from 1997q1 to 2010q1, then calculate the RMSE from 2007q1 to 2010q1 for three horizons: 1, 2 and 3 quarters ahead.
Eg. I have to estimate the VAR from 1997q1 to 2006q4, then calculate the forecasting from 2007q1 to 2007q3, then restimate the var again from 1997q1 to 2007q1 then provide forecasts from 2007q2 to 2007q4,.... until the end of the sample. Finaly, I will calculate the RMSE to evaluate the model VAR chosen.
This is feasable in eviwes manually but demand alot of time, so I would like to have any help to make a program in eviews which can solve it.
Thank you.
I wish I can get a response to my query:
I would like to estimate a VAR model from 1997q1 to 2010q1, then calculate the RMSE from 2007q1 to 2010q1 for three horizons: 1, 2 and 3 quarters ahead.
Eg. I have to estimate the VAR from 1997q1 to 2006q4, then calculate the forecasting from 2007q1 to 2007q3, then restimate the var again from 1997q1 to 2007q1 then provide forecasts from 2007q2 to 2007q4,.... until the end of the sample. Finaly, I will calculate the RMSE to evaluate the model VAR chosen.
This is feasable in eviwes manually but demand alot of time, so I would like to have any help to make a program in eviews which can solve it.
Thank you.