estimated coefficients of the b matrix are all 0.1

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Jasonjjh
Posts: 3
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2011 11:05 pm

estimated coefficients of the b matrix are all 0.1

Postby Jasonjjh » Tue Aug 23, 2011 11:11 pm

Im attempting to create a SVAR model of my 5 factors AUGDP, AUGE, CASH, USGDP, RTWI. My EViews file is getting this odd result that the estimated coefficients of the B matrix are all 0.1 which seem to be the starting values since it doesn't actually go through any iterations (this with the default Choleski restrictions in EViews). So I re-ran it with all u's and no e's on the right-hand side (also for the Choleski) and get sensible results. My supervisor states he doesn't know what's going on with the failure to converge and believes it may be a bug in the program. In my work file i have attempted to use the Hodrick–Prescott filter but this has not helped.
Attachments
jasons thesis 2000 period eviews Hp filter.WF1
(16.09 KiB) Downloaded 522 times

EViews Gareth
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Re: estimated coefficients of the b matrix are all 0.1

Postby EViews Gareth » Wed Aug 24, 2011 7:54 am

Your workfile doesn't include a VAR object.

Jasonjjh
Posts: 3
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2011 11:05 pm

Re: estimated coefficients of the b matrix are all 0.1

Postby Jasonjjh » Mon Aug 29, 2011 7:21 am

ok i have taken lags of my data and run them through the hodrick prescott filter and have estimate the var with the 5 varibales lhusgdp lhaugdp lhcash lhauge lhrtwi. If i use the sample formual given than the coeffecients are all 0.1.

the svar formula i want to impose is
@e1 = c(1)*@u1
@e2 = -c(2)*@e1 - c(3)*@e3 - c(4)*@e4 - c(5)*@e5 + c(6)*@u2
@e3 = -c(7)*@e2 - c(8)*@e5 + c(9)*@u3
@e4 = -c(10)*@e2 + c(11)*@u4
@e5= -c(12)*@e2 + c(13)*@u5

this also gives 01 as the results.
Attachments
jason thesis early period with transfers monday week 4.WF1
(43.64 KiB) Downloaded 568 times

EViews Gareth
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Re: estimated coefficients of the b matrix are all 0.1

Postby EViews Gareth » Mon Aug 29, 2011 7:41 am

You have your estimation set to use 0.1 as starting values, and the VAR is reporting it could not converge (Failure to improve after 1 interation). Thus the final estimates are all 0.1.

Jasonjjh
Posts: 3
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2011 11:05 pm

Re: estimated coefficients of the b matrix are all 0.1

Postby Jasonjjh » Mon Aug 29, 2011 10:41 am

what do i need to do to change the starting value to not be 0.1.

EViews Gareth
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Re: estimated coefficients of the b matrix are all 0.1

Postby EViews Gareth » Mon Aug 29, 2011 11:04 am

The Optimization Control tab of the Structural Factorization dialog has options for starting values.

donihue
Posts: 139
Joined: Wed Oct 07, 2009 8:51 am

Re: estimated coefficients of the b matrix are all 0.1

Postby donihue » Tue Aug 30, 2011 12:31 am

If you draw the starting values from a Uniform(0,1) distribution, your SVAR converges; however, the LR test indicates that the (over-)identification restrictions are strongly rejected, thus indicating that the proposed SVAR is rejected by the data, implying the need to change the underlying restrictions.
Regards
Donihue


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