System Estimation: Restricting Variance-Covariance Matrix
Posted: Thu Apr 07, 2011 3:58 am
I want to estimate a system for which the variance-covariance matrix of the residuals is restricted (for instance, to be the identity matrix, or to be a diagonal matrix).
As an illustration, take the 'Structural Factorisation' example (from the EViews manual) for VARs, the system is given as:
---
@E1 = C(1)*@U1
@E2 = C(2)*@E1 + C(3)*@U2
@E3 = C(4)*@E1 + C(5)*@E2 + C(6)*@U3
where E[uu']=I
---
How would I estimate this using the system object?
The system object allows (resid0i = @ei for i = 1,2,3):
---
resid01
resid02 = C(2)*resid01
resid03 = C(4)*resid01 + C(5)*resid02
---
which gives the same estimates for C(2), C(4), C(5) as the SVAR.
But the following doesn't work (not properly identified, near-singular matrix):
---
C(1)*resid01
C(3)*resid02 = C(2)*resid01
C(6)*resid03 = C(4)*resid01 + C(5)*resid02
---
which I'm pretty sure is because it needs E[uu']=I to be properly identified.
So more generally, how do a place restrictions on the variance-covariance matrix of the residuals (E[uu']) to estimate systems that rely on these restrictions to be identified?
Thanks for reading and thanks in advance for any help. :)
As an illustration, take the 'Structural Factorisation' example (from the EViews manual) for VARs, the system is given as:
---
@E1 = C(1)*@U1
@E2 = C(2)*@E1 + C(3)*@U2
@E3 = C(4)*@E1 + C(5)*@E2 + C(6)*@U3
where E[uu']=I
---
How would I estimate this using the system object?
The system object allows (resid0i = @ei for i = 1,2,3):
---
resid01
resid02 = C(2)*resid01
resid03 = C(4)*resid01 + C(5)*resid02
---
which gives the same estimates for C(2), C(4), C(5) as the SVAR.
But the following doesn't work (not properly identified, near-singular matrix):
---
C(1)*resid01
C(3)*resid02 = C(2)*resid01
C(6)*resid03 = C(4)*resid01 + C(5)*resid02
---
which I'm pretty sure is because it needs E[uu']=I to be properly identified.
So more generally, how do a place restrictions on the variance-covariance matrix of the residuals (E[uu']) to estimate systems that rely on these restrictions to be identified?
Thanks for reading and thanks in advance for any help. :)