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seasonality after seasonal adjustment

Posted: Wed Oct 13, 2010 4:49 am
by kanonathena
Hi

After making seasonal adjustment to a series with ARIMA (no seasonal dummies or constant), the resulting series still has a seasonal patten as detected by regressing the adjusted series on seasonal dummies. why is this?

Re: seasonality after seasonal adjustment

Posted: Wed Oct 13, 2010 7:05 am
by trubador
Seasonal adjustment is a data-dependent analysis, so it is quite difficult to understand the problem without seeing the actual data. Output reports of formal seasonal adjustment procedures (X12 or TRAMO/SEATS) are more conclusive and reliable. These reports provide very detailed information on the seasonal behaviour in your data (e.g. whether the data have a moving seasonality pattern). Seasonal dummies are simple dummy variables assigned to specific periods and may also capture movements other than seasonality. Since built-in seasonal adjustment procedures can also auto detect and remove any outlier effect, you should also check for any significant irregularities in your regression.

Re: seasonality after seasonal adjustment

Posted: Wed Jul 25, 2012 2:49 pm
by bvguizar
Hi,

I have made seasonality adjustment to my series with tramo/seats but keeps showing seasonality. Do you know how can I correct that?

Thank you

Re: seasonality after seasonal adjustment

Posted: Wed Aug 01, 2012 1:53 am
by trubador
You can add seasonal dummies to your analysis.

Re: seasonality after seasonal adjustment

Posted: Mon Dec 03, 2012 7:55 pm
by punjaphp
How do I add seasonal dummies in eviews program?
thank you

Re: seasonality after seasonal adjustment

Posted: Tue Dec 04, 2012 2:38 am
by trubador
For monthly data, you can start by @expand(@month) command and then keep the significant ones with @seas() command:

Code: Select all

equation myeq.ls y x @expand(@month) equation myeq.ls y x @seas(1) @seas(5) @seas(8) @seas(10)

Re: seasonality after seasonal adjustment

Posted: Tue Dec 04, 2012 3:09 am
by punjaphp
Great! thank you trubador

PLEASE HELP: seasonality after seasonal adjustment

Posted: Tue Jan 22, 2013 4:07 am
by bvguizar
Hi,

What do we do after we run the OLS with the dummies. I found that all of the dummies are significant, then I go to X12 arima or how do I correct this? Please help :oops: