Short Term Interest Rate ARMA
Moderators: EViews Gareth, EViews Moderator
-
brennan6738
- Posts: 31
- Joined: Tue Sep 08, 2009 1:28 pm
Short Term Interest Rate ARMA
I am trying to forecast the LIBOR-OIS rate using monthly data going back to 2003. The SIC seems to suggest an ARMA(1,0) or ARMA(1,1). I have tried various models, and they consistently show the rate turning negative. I think it's a possibility, but highly unlikely. Is there a way to put a lower bound or adjust the model to give me a more realistic forecast? I tried adding a constant but that didn't fix the issue. Anyone have an idea?
-
startz
- Non-normality and collinearity are NOT problems!
- Posts: 3796
- Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2008 2:25 pm
Re: Short Term Interest Rate ARMA
estimate log(interest) as the dependent variable
Return to “Econometric Discussions”
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest
