HELP!GARCH(1,1)-M state space model!

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francesgo
Posts: 3
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 7:23 am

HELP!GARCH(1,1)-M state space model!

Postby francesgo » Mon Aug 02, 2010 8:04 am

im doing a garch(1,1)-m model applied in state space model, my programme is as follows:
@signal r=a+b*r(-1)+d*h+e1
@state h=c(1)+c(2)*h(-1)+c(3)*e1(-1)^2
@state a=a(-1)+e2
@state b=b(-1)+e2
@evar var(e1)=1
@evar var(e2)=exp(c(5))
when i try to run this programme. it says "system contains no nonzero error variance"
can anyone tell me how to fix it?

thank you for your help!

trubador
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Posts: 1520
Joined: Thu Nov 20, 2008 12:04 pm

Re: HELP!GARCH(1,1)-M state space model!

Postby trubador » Mon Aug 02, 2010 12:20 pm

Unfortunately, you cannot conduct a garch-in-mean analysis in EViews' state space object, since at some point you'll have to define squares of error terms or states, which are not allowed due to linearity assumptions.

francesgo
Posts: 3
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 7:23 am

Re: HELP!GARCH(1,1)-M state space model!

Postby francesgo » Mon Aug 02, 2010 12:42 pm

@trubador

thank you for your help! btw, is there any way that i can estimate my GARCH(1,1)-M state space model? can you please introduce me some other kind of software package?

trubador
Did you use forum search?
Posts: 1520
Joined: Thu Nov 20, 2008 12:04 pm

Re: HELP!GARCH(1,1)-M state space model!

Postby trubador » Mon Aug 02, 2010 12:52 pm

It would be inappropriate to advise another software package here. However, I think your problem will continue in most cases, since you are trying to put a nonlinear structure in a linear state space model. Either you'll have to find a way to linearize your model, or you'll have to refer to more complex estimation methods (e.g. extended kalman filter, particle filter, etc.).

francesgo
Posts: 3
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 7:23 am

Re: HELP!GARCH(1,1)-M state space model!

Postby francesgo » Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:15 pm

@trubador

many thanks....


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