static model in time series data
Posted: Sat Jul 10, 2010 5:57 am
Hi, I'm using eview 6 to do least squares for economic growth and exchange rate regime in US from 1974 to 2004
However, I've got a problem about my model when I tried to regress it, the window said NEAR SINGULAR MATRIX
I've got no one to consult with, I was wondering if anyone could point out my problem and I could have some ideas to solve it.
Many thanks!
The model is
GDP=c+ B1*TT+B2*CVIL1~7+B3*GDP74+B4*GOV+B5*INF+B6*INVGDP+B7*OPEN+B8*POP+B9*POPGR
+B10*SEC+B11FLOAT
the series variables in this model are:
1. GDP - Rate of growth of real per capita GDP
2. TT - Change in terms of trade—exports as a capacity to import
3. CIVIL1~7 - dummy variables for the Index of civil liberties (measured on a 1 to 7 scale, with 1 corresponding to highest degree of freedom), CIVIL1=1 and CIVIL2~7=0 from 1974 to 2004
4. GDP74 - Initial per capita GDP (average over 1970–1973)
5. GOV - Growth of government consumption in last year
6. INF - Annual percentage change in Consumer Price Index
7. INVGDP - Investment to GDP ratio
8. OPEN - Openness, (ratio of [export + import]/2 to GDP)
9. POP - Total population (units)
10. POPGR - Population growth (annual percent)
11. SEC - Total gross enrollment ratio for secondary education
12. Float - dummy variable for exchange rate regimes (THE REGIMES FROM 1974 - 2004 ARE ''ALL'' FLOAT)
When I used the above variables to do regression, the window said NEAR SINGULAR MATRIX.
Even when I excluded c, it's still not working....
And, if I exclude float and civil these two dummies, the model with c is still NEAR SINGULAR MATRIX
what's the problem!!!??? Is it because I have only one country and this model is for panel data??Or, the sample size (31 years) isn't large enough??
It's going to kill me................
The following are other variables I haven't added in the model,
To solve endogeneity of INF on GDP
Instrumental variables are
1. The Index of Central Bank Independence (CBI)
2. Prior Colony (dummy variable) = 1 from 1974 to 2004
3. Latin America (dummy variable) = 0 from 1974 to 2004
To solve endogeneity of FlOAT on GDP
IVs are
1. AREA Land area (sq. km)
2. ISLAND - Dummy variable for countries with no mainland territory.
3. REGEXCH Average de facto exchange rate regime of the region
4. RESBASE Initial Ratio of International Reserves to monetary base (Source: IMF, line 11/line 14)
5. SIZE GDP in dollars over U.S. GDP
However, I've got a problem about my model when I tried to regress it, the window said NEAR SINGULAR MATRIX
I've got no one to consult with, I was wondering if anyone could point out my problem and I could have some ideas to solve it.
Many thanks!
The model is
GDP=c+ B1*TT+B2*CVIL1~7+B3*GDP74+B4*GOV+B5*INF+B6*INVGDP+B7*OPEN+B8*POP+B9*POPGR
+B10*SEC+B11FLOAT
the series variables in this model are:
1. GDP - Rate of growth of real per capita GDP
2. TT - Change in terms of trade—exports as a capacity to import
3. CIVIL1~7 - dummy variables for the Index of civil liberties (measured on a 1 to 7 scale, with 1 corresponding to highest degree of freedom), CIVIL1=1 and CIVIL2~7=0 from 1974 to 2004
4. GDP74 - Initial per capita GDP (average over 1970–1973)
5. GOV - Growth of government consumption in last year
6. INF - Annual percentage change in Consumer Price Index
7. INVGDP - Investment to GDP ratio
8. OPEN - Openness, (ratio of [export + import]/2 to GDP)
9. POP - Total population (units)
10. POPGR - Population growth (annual percent)
11. SEC - Total gross enrollment ratio for secondary education
12. Float - dummy variable for exchange rate regimes (THE REGIMES FROM 1974 - 2004 ARE ''ALL'' FLOAT)
When I used the above variables to do regression, the window said NEAR SINGULAR MATRIX.
Even when I excluded c, it's still not working....
And, if I exclude float and civil these two dummies, the model with c is still NEAR SINGULAR MATRIX
what's the problem!!!??? Is it because I have only one country and this model is for panel data??Or, the sample size (31 years) isn't large enough??
It's going to kill me................
The following are other variables I haven't added in the model,
To solve endogeneity of INF on GDP
Instrumental variables are
1. The Index of Central Bank Independence (CBI)
2. Prior Colony (dummy variable) = 1 from 1974 to 2004
3. Latin America (dummy variable) = 0 from 1974 to 2004
To solve endogeneity of FlOAT on GDP
IVs are
1. AREA Land area (sq. km)
2. ISLAND - Dummy variable for countries with no mainland territory.
3. REGEXCH Average de facto exchange rate regime of the region
4. RESBASE Initial Ratio of International Reserves to monetary base (Source: IMF, line 11/line 14)
5. SIZE GDP in dollars over U.S. GDP