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CAPM

Posted: Wed Jun 02, 2010 11:04 am
by halloduda
Hello,

I working with Eviews for a paper I write in my Econometrics class.. And I don't know, somehow my CAPM regression is not working! Maybe somebody could help me out with that! I've been studying Eviews by myself for 2 weeks now, but I must have overseen one thing..
Ok, here is my problem:

I have got data from a market return (e.g. S&P500), the data is like 0,001 or -0,0002 or so..
I also have got data from a fund (e.g. hedge or mutual fund), the data is also plus minus 0
And i have got risk free data (e.g. treasury bill), the data is also around 0 (like +- 3 percent)

... ok, so if I plug that data in eviews, it just gives me crap! Like the R^2 is aroun 0,0001, all coeffients are incignificant! I tried changing the data but it just does not work! Well, maybe somebody could give me a suggestion!

Thanks,
halloduda

Re: CAPM

Posted: Wed Jun 02, 2010 11:06 am
by halloduda
I forgot to mention: I am an Eview7 user

Re: CAPM

Posted: Wed Jun 02, 2010 7:49 pm
by JimForest
A low R-squared in a CAPM regression can be an indicator that your market index may not be appropriate as a benchmark for systematic risk. For example, if you are calculating beta for a bond fund you might want to use a bond index rather than a stock index.

Re: CAPM

Posted: Thu Jun 03, 2010 2:09 am
by halloduda
Thanks for your answer! That is what I tried during the last days.

For example: I have got S&P500 daily returns and than I try to regress a American stock fund (with daily returns)! And that's where the problems start.. The correlation coefficient is like -0,01 and R^2 like 0,000000001

Do you might have another idea?

Re: CAPM

Posted: Thu Jun 03, 2010 6:40 am
by startz
Thanks for your answer! That is what I tried during the last days.

For example: I have got S&P500 daily returns and than I try to regress a American stock fund (with daily returns)! And that's where the problems start.. The correlation coefficient is like -0,01 and R^2 like 0,000000001

Do you might have another idea?
How long is your sample? Something like this might happen over a very short sample, I suppose.
Less helpfully, I wonder if you've just made a mistake somewhere. The R^2 should be the square of the correlation coefficient and what you report isn't close.