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Univariate Bayesian Estimation
Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2024 2:40 am
by EF00
Dear all,
is it possible to implement a bayesian approach for a univariate estimation model? How?
Re: Univariate Bayesian Estimation
Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2024 9:36 am
by EViews Gareth
There is nothing built in to do it. Yet...
Re: Univariate Bayesian Estimation
Posted: Tue Dec 03, 2024 4:22 am
by EF00
That's okay. Alternatively, how can I manage different time windows? How can I identify them? For example, how can I handle COVID-19 shocks that might affect the estimation of coefficients in a model and the forecasting results?
Re: Univariate Bayesian Estimation
Posted: Tue Dec 03, 2024 10:27 am
by startz
Can you be more specific? You can control the estimation window or forecast window with the
command.
Re: Univariate Bayesian Estimation
Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2024 2:56 am
by EF00
For example, although EViews is not specifically designed for Bayesian models, is it possible to implement a "simplified version" of dynamic linear models using state-space structures and the Kalman filter? How?
Re: Univariate Bayesian Estimation
Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2024 4:11 am
by EF00
What I want is to obtain accurate estimates of the coefficients of my equation, which might be influenced by external phenomena.
Re: Univariate Bayesian Estimation
Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2024 8:54 am
by startz
If you want to exclude the pandemic you could set the estimation to be something like
Alternatively, you might include a dummy variable that is set to 1.0 during the pandemic.