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Lag Selection

Posted: Sat Jan 11, 2020 3:21 pm
by opticchickenmcnugget
Dear E Views Forum Members,

I am currently trying to test whether treasury yields to see if they are a martingale/random walk series, as a precursor leading up to my error correction model.

Say i've taken quarterly averages of monthly data (wanted to test at shorter intervals), and i am testing for ARCH.

How many lags would you suggest I use?

Thanks in advance for any help.

PS: Feel free to drop me a message if you have some experience with ECM's and treasury yields. :P :P

Re: Lag Selection

Posted: Sat Jan 11, 2020 4:19 pm
by startz
Don’t take quarterly averages. Use last day of quarter if possible. Taking averages screws up autocorrelations.

Re: Lag Selection

Posted: Sat Jan 11, 2020 4:56 pm
by opticchickenmcnugget
Ok, will do - how many lags would you suggest for the ARCH test with quarterly data?

Re: Lag Selection

Posted: Sat Jan 11, 2020 7:41 pm
by startz
No idea. Sorry.