Page 1 of 1

Forecast PMG equations for panel data

Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 10:34 am
by Frdmn
Hello,

I'm trying to forecast the dependant variable based on regressors but the forecast button for PMG estimation doesn't seem to function and only forecasts in-sample.

I use the following specification:

Code: Select all

equation pmg_em_asia.ardl(deplags=3,reglags=3) log(oil_consumption_per_capita) log(revenue_per_capita_real) log(brent_c_l) forecast oil_consumption_per_capita_f
I have data up to 2018Q3 for oil_consumption_per_capita and up to 2021Q4 for revenue_per_capita_real and brent_c_l.

Do you have an idea of what is going on?

Thanks!
ps: I'm using Eviews 10+
F.

Re: Forecast PMG equations for panel data

Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 2:06 pm
by EViews Gareth
The PMG forecast does not currently dynamically update the dependent variable in the short run equation, so is, unfortunately, incapable of doing a true dynamic out-of-sample forecast.

Re: Forecast PMG equations for panel data

Posted: Tue Dec 11, 2018 2:34 am
by Frdmn
Thank you Gareth,

Is there a command to retrieve short run cross section coefficients then?

Thank you in advance,

F.

Re: Forecast PMG equations for panel data

Posted: Tue Dec 11, 2018 8:52 am
by EViews Gareth

Code: Select all

=pmg_em_asia.@ardlsrcoefs