Static y forecast with out of sample x's
Posted: Wed Apr 04, 2018 7:22 am
Hi there.
I am trying to forecast forward y by 12 quarters based on a single ols equation. I have assumed values for my independent variables for the out-of-sample 12 quarters period, so am trying to do a static forecast. This only allows me to forecast out 4 quarters, obviously using actual lagged values of my independent variables in my regression, and stopping at the end of my sample
.
Is there a way of using my assumed values of independent variable as, in effect, actual values to roll forward a static forecast of y? Essentially I am trying to forecast y based on future scenarios of x
Many Thanks
I am trying to forecast forward y by 12 quarters based on a single ols equation. I have assumed values for my independent variables for the out-of-sample 12 quarters period, so am trying to do a static forecast. This only allows me to forecast out 4 quarters, obviously using actual lagged values of my independent variables in my regression, and stopping at the end of my sample
.
Is there a way of using my assumed values of independent variable as, in effect, actual values to roll forward a static forecast of y? Essentially I am trying to forecast y based on future scenarios of x
Many Thanks