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Breakpoint Unit Root Test
Posted: Sat Jul 09, 2016 7:31 am
by mikeyap
Hi,
Is there a bug in the Breakpoint Unit Root Test procedure? I noticed that, depending on the option selected for estimating the lag length (e.g. Akaike, Schwarz etc.), the value for probability can return a "NA". Has anyone else encountered this? (I'm using EViews 9.5.)
Thanks for any info,
Mike
Re: Breakpoint Unit Root Test
Posted: Sat Jul 09, 2016 8:20 am
by EViews Gareth
Can you provide an example?
Re: Breakpoint Unit Root Test
Posted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 8:24 am
by mikeyap
Can you provide an example?
Say, I specify a Breakpoint Unit Root Test. All the chosen fields are the same except I change the method for choosing lag length. When Schwarz is chosen, the probability for t-stat returns a "NA". All other methods for choosing lag length has a probability value.
Another example is, if the user fixes the lag length, from 1 to 7, there is a value for probability. Lag length of 8, 9, 10 returns a "NA". Then lag length of 11 and 12 both have a value for probability.
The data frequency is quarterly and sample is almost 80 data points after adjustments.
Re: Breakpoint Unit Root Test
Posted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 10:36 am
by EViews Gareth
We'll need to have the actual data
Re: Breakpoint Unit Root Test
Posted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 8:27 pm
by mikeyap
Please see attached file. Series X1.
Specification of the breakpoint unit root test as follows:
Trend specification - trend & intercept
Break specification - trend & intercept
Lag length: fixed (probability of t-stat depends on lag - 1 to 4 OK; 5 NA; 6 & 7 OK; 8 to 10 NA; 11 & 12 OK)
Break type: additive outlier; Break point calculation: user specified 1998:4
As you can see, whether or not the t-stat has a probability value depends on the lag length chosen and it appears inconsistent.
Re: Breakpoint Unit Root Test
Posted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 10:40 pm
by mikeyap
The above is one example. The other example is as mentioned in my first post. Depending on the method chosen to estimate the lag length, the probability for the t-stat can return a "NA".
Re: Breakpoint Unit Root Test
Posted: Thu Jul 14, 2016 5:43 pm
by mikeyap
EViews advisors: any luck figuring out what's the problem? Is there a bug?
Thanks for your time on this.
Re: Breakpoint Unit Root Test
Posted: Mon Jul 18, 2016 11:21 am
by EViews Glenn
A bug in the labeling of the p-value range. We weren't using the correct label in the "0.5 > p >= 0.10" case. You can see that you are > 0.1 by looking at the listed critical values and comparing with your statistic value.
We'll get this fixed.
Re: Breakpoint Unit Root Test
Posted: Mon Jul 18, 2016 3:09 pm
by mikeyap
Thank you very much for clarifying. I thought it may be something like that. Looking forward to the patch update to fix the bug.
Re: Breakpoint Unit Root Test
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2017 5:47 pm
by Economist
Hi,
I know that in his original paper Perron(1989) used this test with a known and single breakpoint. Nevertheless, can we also use this test with multiple breakpoints by selecting Dickey-Fuller min-t, intercept break min-t, etc. when we select breakpoint selection method? If not, how can we conduct unit root test if we have multiple breakpoints in our model?
Thank you.
Re: Breakpoint Unit Root Test
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2017 6:35 pm
by EViews Gareth
No. EViews only supports unit root tests with a single break point.