error band in the period of policy shock
Posted: Mon May 30, 2016 2:23 am
Suppose we simply estimate a 3 variable VAR of inflation (pi), output gap (gap), and the policy interest rate (r). We impose the usual recursive error structure by ordering the variables by pi, gap and r. Now we compute impulse responses to one standard deviation policy shock. I believe the error bands in period 0 in response to the shock should be all zero (i.e., the values of upper and lower bands are the same in period 0) because (i) pi and gap do not respond to changes in r contemporaneously and (ii) the size of policy shock is @stdev(r) so that both upper and lower bands should equal to @stdev(r) in period 0. Eviews generates "zero" error bands in period 0 for pi and gap BUT NOT FOR r. Why isn't the error band for r in period 0 zero? How is it computed? Thanks.