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Overreaction/ Asymetric mean-variance

Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 9:11 am
by ABerger_Nova
Good afternoon people,

I am currently working on my thesis subject and want to prove overreaction of the main european indexes (FTSE, CAC, DAX) to the Greek debt crisis of 2015.
In order to do so, I need to find a model that allows the conditional mean and variance of returns to vary asymmetrically in response to previous up or down movements of all sizes.
Are some of the members aware of such model and how I could evaluate it on Eviews ?

Thank you.

Best,

Antoine B

Re: Overreaction/ Asymetric mean-variance

Posted: Wed Mar 09, 2016 7:13 am
by ABerger_Nova
Hi again,

I saw that nobody answered my question yet.

In the meantime I made some research and saw that the EGARCH can allow for asymmetric conditional mean and variance. Do I just need to run the model on my sample and see how it fits ?

How would the fact that this model fits proves overreaction ? (asymmetrical volatility to bad news would only prove it ?)

Thank you.

Antoine