Forecasting Formula Normalized
Posted: Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:04 am
Can someone point me to more detail on what Eviews does when normalizing a series when forecasting? I would like to be able to hand calculate the forecast to check it.
This is from the Eviews help documentation.
If the formula can be normalized, EViews will compute the forecasts of the transformed dependent variable by first forecasting the normalized series and then transforming the forecasts of the normalized series. This methodology has important consequences when the formula includes lagged series. For example, consider the following two models:
series dhs = d(hs)
equation eq1.ls d(hs) c sp
equation eq2.ls dhs c sp
My estimation equation.
equation eq!i_2.ls dlog(hpi_fhfa)-dlog(hpif) dlog(hpi_fhfa(-1))-dlog(hpif(-1)) dlog(hpi_fhfa(-2))-dlog(hpif(-2)) dlog(hpi_fhfa(-3))-dlog(hpif(-3)) dlog(hpi_fhfa(-4))-dlog(hpif(-4)) log(hpi_fhfa(-1))-log(hpif(-1)) d(ur_sa)
My forecast.
eq!i_2.forecast hpa_fcst_!I
Eviews provides forecasts for hpi_fhfa
This is from the Eviews help documentation.
If the formula can be normalized, EViews will compute the forecasts of the transformed dependent variable by first forecasting the normalized series and then transforming the forecasts of the normalized series. This methodology has important consequences when the formula includes lagged series. For example, consider the following two models:
series dhs = d(hs)
equation eq1.ls d(hs) c sp
equation eq2.ls dhs c sp
My estimation equation.
equation eq!i_2.ls dlog(hpi_fhfa)-dlog(hpif) dlog(hpi_fhfa(-1))-dlog(hpif(-1)) dlog(hpi_fhfa(-2))-dlog(hpif(-2)) dlog(hpi_fhfa(-3))-dlog(hpif(-3)) dlog(hpi_fhfa(-4))-dlog(hpif(-4)) log(hpi_fhfa(-1))-log(hpif(-1)) d(ur_sa)
My forecast.
eq!i_2.forecast hpa_fcst_!I
Eviews provides forecasts for hpi_fhfa