ARDL Documentation, EViews 9
Posted: Fri Jun 26, 2015 2:36 pm
The EViews 9 User's Guide for ARDL testing, equation (27.1), shows an auto-regressive equation, with both y and x terms in levels. In turning this into an estimate of cointegrated and long-run relationships, (27.3) then transforms (27.1) into an ECM form -- with both x and y in first difference lagged forms, with an embedded cointegrating equation in lagged *levels*. All standard so far.
But this is not at all the way that EViews 9 carries out its test of long-run and cointegrating relationships. Entering an ARDL relationship in levels does produce an equation similar to (27.1). So far, so good. In estimating a ECM form via View/Coefficient Diagnostics/Cointegration and Long Run Form, however, one finds that the dependent variable is still in levels, rather than the first-difference form shown in (27.3) Note that this is even though the Bounds Test is carried out via an equation like (27.5), a form similar to (27.3) but "unconstrained" in its error-correction portion.
Can I get an ECM form similar to (27.3)? (That is, instead of estimating a VECM model directly, with the much more restrictive conditions that would imply.) Of course I can just re-estimate (27.1) but with the dependent variable in first-difference form -- this does give a result identical to the bounds test; i.e., the equation shown as (27.5). But then the cointegrated long-run form estimate on this ARDL form looks very different from the desired (27.3) -- with second-difference terms. (Yikes!)
Is the documentation is misleading, or have I just interpreted it badly? I hope I have been clear enough in my questions. If not please respond, and I will try to clarify.
But this is not at all the way that EViews 9 carries out its test of long-run and cointegrating relationships. Entering an ARDL relationship in levels does produce an equation similar to (27.1). So far, so good. In estimating a ECM form via View/Coefficient Diagnostics/Cointegration and Long Run Form, however, one finds that the dependent variable is still in levels, rather than the first-difference form shown in (27.3) Note that this is even though the Bounds Test is carried out via an equation like (27.5), a form similar to (27.3) but "unconstrained" in its error-correction portion.
Can I get an ECM form similar to (27.3)? (That is, instead of estimating a VECM model directly, with the much more restrictive conditions that would imply.) Of course I can just re-estimate (27.1) but with the dependent variable in first-difference form -- this does give a result identical to the bounds test; i.e., the equation shown as (27.5). But then the cointegrated long-run form estimate on this ARDL form looks very different from the desired (27.3) -- with second-difference terms. (Yikes!)
Is the documentation is misleading, or have I just interpreted it badly? I hope I have been clear enough in my questions. If not please respond, and I will try to clarify.