Out of sample forecast of Principal Components
Posted: Mon Apr 20, 2015 9:28 am
I want to generate an out-of-sample forecast (and backcast) of a principal component I estimate over a specific period. (Effectively I want to generate an index using the principal component, but only change my base weights periodically, rather than re-estimating each time as new data becomes available). This means that I need to recreate the principal components based on the weights that EV calculates.
When I apply the loadings to my my underlying data to replicate the principal components that Eviews generates, I get something different from the PC that EV generates I'm only interested in PC1). I understand that Eviews scales/centers the data before obtaining the principal components. However, I don't know how it does that. As such, I can't reverse the process.
How do I go about doing that? Or, how do I find out what scaling/centering Eviews applies before it calculates the PC? - Thanks
When I apply the loadings to my my underlying data to replicate the principal components that Eviews generates, I get something different from the PC that EV generates I'm only interested in PC1). I understand that Eviews scales/centers the data before obtaining the principal components. However, I don't know how it does that. As such, I can't reverse the process.
How do I go about doing that? Or, how do I find out what scaling/centering Eviews applies before it calculates the PC? - Thanks