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CGARCH

Posted: Sun Jun 28, 2009 6:04 am
by bubu
hej hej
i would be really grateful in case somebody can help me with some hints about how can I plot the long run component and the short run component of a CGARCH.

Thank u all

Re: CGARCH

Posted: Sun Jun 28, 2009 9:22 am
by trubador
Once you estimate the CGARCH model, you can save conditional variance and permanent (or long run) component via clicking "Proc/Make GARCH Variance Series". Short run component is simply the difference between conditional variance and the permanent component.

Re: CGARCH

Posted: Sun Jun 28, 2009 9:52 am
by bubu
thanks a lot trubador, I succeed to make the conditional variance series, but I do not know how to do the permanent component :(

Re: CGARCH

Posted: Sun Jun 28, 2009 1:40 pm
by trubador
Unless you enter a name for the "Permanent Component" box, it will not save the series. Please see the picture attached.

Re: CGARCH

Posted: Sun Jun 28, 2009 11:43 pm
by bubu
unfortunatelly i do not have this screen when select "Make garch variance"...i think it's because of Eviews, I'm using Eviews 5.
Lots of thanks for u help.

Re: CGARCH

Posted: Mon Jun 29, 2009 12:27 pm
by bubu
trubador pls I need you help in this,
I'm analysing the volatility with 4 garch models and then VECM for long run relations between markets. What i do not understand is the connection between the first part of the article and the second part, I mean I should introduce the short run relations from CGARCH in VEC...or how else I can make connections between these?

Thank you for you time and u'r extreme helpful answers

Re: CGARCH

Posted: Mon Jun 29, 2009 2:00 pm
by trubador
Could you please cite the article you mention?

Re: CGARCH

Posted: Mon Jun 29, 2009 2:06 pm
by bubu
I think I manage to attached the file. The name of the article is
"Volatility and Long Term Relations in
Equity Markets: Empirical Evidence
from Germany, Switzerland, and the UK"
by Guidi, Francesco.

thank you so much for your support

Re: CGARCH

Posted: Mon Jun 29, 2009 2:46 pm
by trubador
It seems two parts are actually independent of each other empirically. Author preferred to analyse the volatility in markets in a univariate (but detailed) framework unlike the returns, where he built a vector error correction model. Of course, a multivariate GARCH analysis would also be helpful in analysing the interaction between the markets (simultaneously in terms of returns and conditional variances), author followed a more complementary approach and decided to analyse the relationship between returns in a longer term framework. So everything seems fine...

Re: CGARCH

Posted: Mon Jun 29, 2009 3:06 pm
by bubu
thank a lot for everything, it helps a lot
do u think makes sense to introduce the long-run component of CGARCH in VECM?

Re: CGARCH

Posted: Mon Jun 29, 2009 11:41 pm
by trubador
Joint estimation of conditional variances and returns in a multivariate framework will be better. As long as you are aware of the fact that you are following a two-step approach, it will not be a problem. You should take into account this difference when interpereting your results.

Re: CGARCH

Posted: Tue Jun 30, 2009 11:30 pm
by bubu
Lots of thanks for your help trubador