ADF- Intercept and trend

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froso24
Posts: 1
Joined: Sat Mar 15, 2014 8:11 pm

ADF- Intercept and trend

Postby froso24 » Sat Mar 15, 2014 8:48 pm

Hi guys,
I really need your help!!!

I test time series data using ADF unit root test.
When I test one of my variables in levels I find that is non-stationary in all 3 cases( with constant and trend (insignificant), with constant(insignificant) and without trend and constant).
Taking the first difference I find that with the constant and trend, the null hypothesis of non-stationary is rejected, so is stationary. BUT with the constant only the null hypothesis is not rejected while without the constant and trend the null is rejected.
So what I have to do??? is my variable stationary in first difference or I have to take second difference??????
I am so confused with the ADF procedure, whether we have to include constant or not!!!

Please help me
Thanks in advance

Eyet
Posts: 1
Joined: Fri Oct 02, 2020 1:14 am

Re: ADF- Intercept and trend

Postby Eyet » Fri Oct 23, 2020 1:47 am

Hi Guys, please I need your help, I have the same problem, in case my variable is stationnary only with intercept and trend, is it then stationay in first difference and should I detrend my serie to work with it for cointegration after that?
Thanks in advance.

tesfayegirma894
Posts: 2
Joined: Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:28 am

Re: ADF- Intercept and trend

Postby tesfayegirma894 » Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:31 am

Hi guys,
I really need your help!!!

I test time series data using ADF unit root test.
When I test one of my variables in levels I find that is non-stationary in all 3 cases( with constant and trend (insignificant), with constant(insignificant) and without trend and constant).
Taking the first difference I find that with the constant and trend, the null hypothesis of non-stationary is rejected, so is stationary. BUT with the constant only the null hypothesis is not rejected while without the constant and trend the null is rejected.
So what I have to do??? is my variable stationary in first difference or I have to take second difference??????
I am so confused with the ADF procedure, whether we have to include constant or not!!!

Please help me
Thanks in advance
Variable
With intercept
With trend and intercept
None
Order of integration

Ln rgdp
-3.04465
-1.181654

1.286404
I(1)

Dlnrgdp
-7.72953*
-9.025034*
-7.537166*


Ln hunk
-1.347548
-3.397069
0.69884
I(1)

Lnhumc
-6.575929*
-6.612879*
-6.412059*


Inhere
-1.598707
-2.493815
-1.568925
I(1)

Dlnherf
-6.36826*
-6.348904*
-6.398952*


Lnopen
-0.185156
-0.709152
1.027558
I(1)

Lnopen
-9.442456*
-9.620037*
-9.374600*


Lerner
-1.071737
-1.726695
-0.515880
I(1)

Dlnherf
-5.123476*
-5.066272*
-5.188266*


Ln labour
2.438182
1.368125
-0.140553
I(1)

dlnlabour
1.237344*
3.559872*
3.559872*


Ln fdi
-4.221363
-3.795463
1.701544
I(1)

Dandy
-6.737761*
-6.995758*
-6.328590*

Explain p value at 1%, 5%, 10%

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tesfayegirma894
Posts: 2
Joined: Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:28 am

Re: ADF- Intercept and trend

Postby tesfayegirma894 » Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:37 am

How can explain p value under this

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