Initialization in markov switching model

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hakeru7
Posts: 5
Joined: Mon Sep 14, 2015 2:34 pm

Initialization in markov switching model

Postby hakeru7 » Wed Sep 16, 2015 7:58 am

Hello,

I understand that the initial coefficients in a markov switching estimation is created by doing a simple ols and adding random normals around the coefficients using their respective s.d.

I'm wondering how the initial regime specific error variances are set and how the initial probability parameters set as well.

Thanks!

EViews Glenn
EViews Developer
Posts: 2682
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 9:17 am

Re: Initialization in markov switching model

Postby EViews Glenn » Wed Sep 16, 2015 10:24 am

Completely arbitrary rule of taking the log of the sigma obtained from OLS, and adding a randomized deviation based on the original log sigma, the specified search scale, and a random normal.
Probability regressors initialized to zero.

hakeru7
Posts: 5
Joined: Mon Sep 14, 2015 2:34 pm

Re: Initialization in markov switching model

Postby hakeru7 » Wed Sep 16, 2015 2:50 pm

Thanks.

Also, I don't think I found a description of what algorithm the estimation uses in numerically maximizing the likelihood. Could you hint?

EViews Glenn
EViews Developer
Posts: 2682
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 9:17 am

Re: Initialization in markov switching model

Postby EViews Glenn » Wed Sep 16, 2015 2:57 pm

BFGS in EViews 8.

BFGS default in EViews 9. Also options for OPG/BHHH and Newton.


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